Showing posts with label Africa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Africa. Show all posts

Thursday, August 7, 2014

How Scared Should We Be of Ebola?


How scared should we be of Ebola?
That’s a loaded question if I ever heard one.
The truth is, it depends where you live. People in Sierra Leone should probably be more afraid of Ebola than people in Seattle. The problem is, when the media gets ahold of something like a virus with no known cure that only rears its retroactive head once every 20 years, things can go a little…dare I say…wonky?
Personally, I’m not afraid of Ebola. Certainly it would be awful should I contract the disease but what am I going to do about it? There’s no definitive cure for the malady and the only options are certain death and miraculous recovery, the latter of which is rare as a politician with a soul.  
But should you be afraid of it?
Once again…depends.
Today at To Infinity and…In Theory we’re going to talk about a topic that’s been flooding the news. Ebola. We’ll discuss the history of its origin, the virus itself, what several arguably insanely brilliant Zairian doctors did to help move along research during its last epidemic, some possible methods scientists are looking into as cures, and finally, the question everyone has been worried sick over…
Should we fear Ebola?
Let’s head on over to the unluckiest continent on planet Earth, and see if we can’t demystify some of the facts about this nasty bugger. We’ll answer the big question first. Where did this disease come from? And why don’t we know very much about it?

Welcome to Zaire


The first recorded case of Ebola was out of Zaire, Africa in 1976. By the time aid workers arrived there though, the virus had already run its course. There was nothing to really study, most of the victims had already died or managed to pull through. All that was left was the disposal of contaminated corpses. The only reason the first outbreak was quelled was because the village elders of the areas wised up and disbanded funeral rights in favor of mass burials. In their culture a funeral involved the people handling the corpse, which as we now know, is a method for the disease to find new hosts. The Zairians were unwittingly spreading it the whole time.
When the morning bell tolled 280 had been reported dead, 318 infected in Zaire. The bordering country of Sudan also felt the sting of the disease in 1976 as well. 284 people were affected by the syndrome and 151 were reported dead in the aftermath of that incident. But it was all over…well…not exactly.
Throughout the coming years there would be reported cases of Ebola circulating worldwide, from the Philippines, to Italy, and even here in the U.S. However, the mortality rate of these reports remained at 0% with less than a trillionth of the populous even experiencing symptoms in each of the aforementioned regions. In other words, less than ten total worldwide in between African outbreaks. And most of these cases involved primates. But then in 1994 and 1995 all hell broke loose once more.



Between the fall of ‘94 and the fall of ‘96, Gabon which borders the Congo was struck. Initially the symptoms were thought to be that of Yellow Fever, a disease which is a common ailment in the area. People began returning home from gold-mining camps sick as the dickens and there was nothing doctors could seem to do to treat them. By the seeming end of the outbreak only 31 were dead and 52 had been afflicted. Thankfully this outbreak had been smaller than Zaire’s…
But Zaire wasn’t done yet…
Remember I mentioned this is the twenty year sickness? It’s not a literal term, more of a moniker doled out by the News of the time, but it’s fitting, because almost twenty years after the first outbreak of Zaire in 1976, in 1995 it happened again. A hospital in Kikwit performed a medical procedure on a patient carrying Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever. They didn’t know unfortunately, and spread it throughout the hospital. The next Zairian apocalypse began.


This time the CDC (Center for Disease Control) and the WHO (World Health Organization) were on top of things. They immediately dispatched doctors from all corners of the world including Switzerland, France, and the United States. This time they were in the thick of the pandemic. That’s good for everyone. Right?
Eh…depends…
It’s all a matter of perspective really. If you watch the documentary Nova made in the ‘90’s called “Plague Fighters” it might change the way you see things. During the course of the outbreak the foreign pathogen experts encountered…dare I say, cultural barriers?
Africa wasn’t exactly known for its high level of education at that point in its history. Almost the entirety of the population was illiterate which made spreading information about controlling contamination factors exceedingly difficult. There was no radio, television, or internet. The only way to spread it was word of mouth or through posters such as these ones below:





But most couldn’t read it. And when people were told to report their sick and dying to foreigners and men in suits and masks they were terrified. Think about it. How would you feel if someone who didn’t even speak your language came to your house and said your grandma had to go with them because she was sick? I’m sure you’d feel more than reluctant to relinquish her to them wouldn’t you? I would. And that’s what was happening. Villagers who couldn’t read the signs didn’t understand the seriousness of the situation and by the time they did it was far too late.


With a mortality rate of 79%, in the wake of this tragedy 315 were infected from onset and 250 were dead. Scientists spent their time there trying to figure out the source of the outbreak. They finally traced it back to patient zero, Gaspard Menga. Everyday Gaspard would travel from his home Kikwit into the Foret Pont Mwembe. It was roughly an 18 mile journey for the man.
He would burn wood to charcoal and sell it for fuel. But in 1995 that was over when Gaspard fell ill and died. By the time they traced the disease back to him scientists from the WHO and the CDC Atlanta had a new goal. Find out where Ebola was hiding at when it wasn’t virulently decimating human populations.
It couldn’t be insects. Insects were literally everywhere in the region and if they were the carrier the disease would be much further reaching. Since most large game in the area had been hunted into extinction all that remained behind were small monkeys, rats, bats, and snakes that composed the diet of the indigenous people. None of these were found to be the source either. Scientists were baffled.
From 1976 until now they’re still uncertain of what the Ebola Virus progenitor is, but they have decided the most likely cause is bats. See bats are kind of sloppy, and their food chain has a trickle-down effect. They’ll drop partially eaten fruits and pulp which makes its way into plants that feed off the soil or into animals through direct contact. The disease is then thought to manifest within a new organism and mutate into a strain which can affect humans. This new strain is then passed off onto us through contact with the infected organism through consumption or through contact with their bodily fluids in some way.
See, trickle-down effect.
So why bats? Because they’re known to already carry a kissing cousin of the Ebola virus known as Marburg’s.
“What the H-E double hockey sticks is that?!?!”
Calm yourself.
It’s time to explain the virus.

“This Isn’t Even My Final Form”


The Ebola virus is a Filovirus, and luckily (so far at least) it seems it’s one of two in the family with a taste for human blood. The other members include Marburg’s virus, the recently (still being bickered over…) discovered Cuevavirus, and the Reston virus. Marburg has had about as rich of a history as Ebola has, however its infection rate has been much, much lower. Let’s talk about the taxonomy of that one virus first.
Marburg’s Virus is named after the place that suffered the initial outbreak. In 1967, German Scientists in a facility in Marburg were playing with infected monkeys. Somehow while handling the tissue the disease jumped hosts, infecting 31 people in total, seven of which died.
Marburg’s virus, like Ebola, is a hemorrhagic fever. It’s less virulent in us however, but to primates, it spells disaster. The other deadly murderer of monkeys is the Reston virus. In the 1980s a facility in Virginia, United States suffered an outbreak amongst its primate specimens. To avoid possible pandemic all the test subjects were euthanized in their cages and Hazmat teams disposed of the corpses.
So what do these viruses do? I won’t bore you with the tedious details surrounding their pathophysiology but I will give you the criteria to be included in the family of Filoviruses. First and foremost the disease has to ultimately gestate into a hemorrhagic fever. Secondly it needs to be able to infect pigs and bats within nature and exclusively replicate itself within the cytoplasm of a host cell.
Shape, size, and weight are factored in as well. But another key component of classification is the ability of the virus to adapt itself through serial passage from host to host. That is how diseases like Lloviu Virus (Cuevavirus) passes down from bats and manifests itself as Marburg’s or Reston’s within primates. That is how it is believed certain strains have adapted themselves to pass onto us in the form of Ebola.
Viruses don’t care about your political agenda.
They don’t care about your sexual preference, age, height, weight, gender, religious beliefs, or what your dreams and aspirations are. Viruses only care about one thing, replication and survival. That is why Ebola is classified as a Level-4 biohazard by the CDC and WHO and calls for Level-5 containment protocols. That is the highest either scale goes.
So now we know its history and what it is, only a few more questions remain. Next we’re going to talk about the current outbreak and how it’s being handled, signs and symptoms of the disease, and what parts of the world are currently being affected.

932 Souls and Counting


As you can see from that graph, since 1976 there hasn’t been an outbreak with a more significant death toll than the one we’re currently facing. As of the time of this writing on August 7th, 2014, the current death toll throughout the five or so nations afflicted has almost risen to 1,000 and the disease is still raging. Having just spread into the neighboring country of Nigeria, a closely knitted community of 21 million or so odd people, the crisis level has risen to response level 1 of all disease control agencies worldwide.
And it isn’t just the Congo for the first time being affected by this disease. United Kingdom and United States aid workers have been stricken with it, the head doctor of Ebola pathology in Sierra Leone died of the disease, and a man named Patrick Sawyer, a U.S. citizen, died under quarantine in Nigeria. Patients have been flown back to facilities in the United States for experimental treatment. The entire world is in a panic over this.
Which brings us to the initial question of the article.
Should you be scared of Ebola?
My answer, even after all of this, is still, depends.
Do you have an inordinately high fever? Does every muscle and joint in your body feel like its torn or ripped out of socket? Do you have a severe headache with extreme sensitivities to light and sound? Chills? Weakness? Nausea?
If so…ask yourself this question…
Have you come into contact recently with anyone who works with the WHO, CDC, or been on a business trip to Africa in the last six months? If so, get your *** down to the CDC, if not, then kindly get off of WebMD, take two Excedrin and a nap, you’re probably hung-over.
The disease can rear its head anywhere from 2 to 21 days after infection. Usually in the course of a few weeks you’re either dead or getting better. The later symptoms of the disorder include vomiting, bloody stools, red sclera (The white area of the eye), chest pain and horrible coughing fits, stomach pain, extreme emaciation from vomiting and inability to ingest foods, internal bleeding, external bleeding from orifices (i.e. eyes, ears, nose, anus) and eventually death.
Let’s be real here for a second, you don’t even see side effects like that on American pharmaceuticals. Those are some horrible consequences and a truly horrific way for somebody to die. That’s why the fact that there is no known cure makes for such a panicky matter.
After the second major outbreak in Zaire occurred a man named Dr. William Close wrote a book entitled “Ebola”. When interviewed for the Nova documentary mentioned before he is quoted as saying, “We can no longer live in our isolationist state of thinking anymore. We are a small community of nations and when one coughs nobody sleeps.”
His words couldn’t ring more true, especially pertaining to this current crisis.
Agencies are banding together though in the name of humanity to try and find a cure for this disease. Scientists are racing round the clock to save as many lives as they can while aid workers do their best to quarantine areas of outbreaks and try to keep casualties minimized.
So what are some of these “cures” they’re working on? Let’s talk about those last here today.

Tobacco’s Got Yo’ Back


That’s right folks, you read that correctly. Tobacco it seems is the answer to the problem. Well…maybe not just tobacco, but a protein found within the cells of genetically modified tobacco plants. I know what you’re saying, “Uh oh, there’s the G M Oh no you didn’t word again.” Sorry to say this folks, but get used to GMOs, they’re here to stay.
That debate is for another day, but what isn’t up for debate are the beneficial effects this protein has been found to have on primate “participants” in the initial trials. The treatment is called ZMapp, and it’s what was given to two U.S. aid workers who contracted Ebola while working in Liberia. As of two days ago, reports were circulating the internet about their improvement, but so far, not many publications are willing to cite ZMapp as the cure.
So what is it?
The tobacco plants are what are known as bioreactor plants. They’re encoded with a specific gene that enables the production of antibodies against a certain pathogen. Once exposed to the disease, the plants produce the antibodies in large quantities to fend it off, once this has happened the scientists harvest the proteins responsible for warding off the illness and culture it into a serum that can then be used to inoculate people against it or even cure those who are afflicted.
We’ve done things like this for a long time. Remember Alexander Fleming? (No not the guy who wrote James Bond, that’s Sir Ian Fleming, but nice try…) Alexander Fleming discovered penicillin. How did he do it you ask? Accidentally, but he was using bacteria to culture proteins that could be distilled into an antivirus. What about the production of synthetic insulin? We encode E. Coli bacterium with the insulin producing gene and harvest them.
Further trials will be needed, and I’m sure given the virulence of this pathogen the CDC and WHO may be willing to move ahead with human trials using volunteers. I know for a fact that, while I’m not worried about contracting Ebola considering where I live in the world, if I did get it, I would sign up for that trial in a heartbeat.
Wouldn’t you?

-       Ryan Sanders


Thanks for reading! If you enjoyed the article feel free to share it around on Facebook, Twitter, and Reddit, don’t forget to head over to the To Infinity and…In Theory Facebook page and give us a like, follow us on Twitter @ToInf_InTheory, and give this article a thumbs up if you learned something today! For further reading follow any of the links below and have a wonderful and safe Ebola free day! Happy Learning!

-       Wiki on Reston Virus
-       Wiki on Marburg’s
-       Wiki on Lloviu Virus
-       Wiki on Filoviruses
-       Wiki on Ebola Virus







Monday, July 28, 2014

Deadly Waters: The Killer Beneath Lake Kivu


We’ve all seen the disaster films. “Armageddon” taught us that all we need is Bruce Willis and a rag tag team of oil riggers to save us from a meteor-related extinction. “The Core” showed us what happened if our planet stopped spinning, (and we learned a valuable lesson about not playing with Earthquake machines.) Other films like “The Day After Tomorrow” depict a frozen wasteland or “Waterworld” in which all the ice caps have melted and we’re completely submerged (epic foreshadowing Congress…)
But what happens when lakes start killing people?
While it’s probably not going to make a blockbuster appearance at the box office any time soon, the reality of Limnic Eruptions, also referred to as Lake Overturn, is a very real, and very deadly one. So how do lakes go about killing people? I’ll give you a hint, it’s not because people drown in them, and it isn’t disease hiding in the water. Turns out, there’s something even more deadly lurking deep down below.
Today at TI&IT we’re going to talk about Lake Overturn, and two natural disasters in the early and mid-1980s that gave us great insight into this destructive phenomenon. We’ll also talk about one lake that, if it were to explode, would kill over 2.2 million people in process and the procedure for eliminating this issue. We’ll also briefly touch on some of the other locations where we can find similar situations throughout the world.
But first, let’s talk about where this indiscriminate killer has already left his mark. And to do that, we need to travel to Africa. Specifically, Cameroon, to a small lake called Monoun. This is where the noxious assailant first made his appearance, in the form of an innocuous, little white cloud.

That Ain’t Casper


See that mass of white accumulated at the bottom of the lake in the photo above? No, that isn’t from some factories smokestack. It also isn’t a reflection of light off the lake. It’s something far more sinister.


No…it’s not Casper the Friendly Ghost either… It’s a noxious gas; well, maybe not as toxic as you might think. We actually expel it every time we draw in a fresh breath.
It’s carbon dioxide.
But in 1984, in Cameroon, that little white cloud was responsible for the death of 38 people bordering the lake. How did this happen you ask? Well, we may exhale Carbon Dioxide, but that’s just the thing, we get rid of it. When exposed to it in massive quantities, Carbon Dioxide can completely displace the air due to its heavier density, effectively choking out the oxygen in the environment around us. In 1984, that’s exactly what happened. While the villagers slept, the Co2 sunk over the ridges of the mountains above and moved slowly through the village, displacing the air and asphyxiating everyone.
But this was just a shadow of the dangers to come. Two years later in 1986, a similar event not far away would dwarf the tragedy of Lake Monoun in every way imaginable. On August 21st, Lake Nyos spewed a gigantic cloud of gas upward from its depths. The cloud crept over the villages surrounding the lake while the people slept. By morning, roughly 1,800 people were dead, stifled of air in their sleep. Livestock lay dead all over the roads and the countryside.
Fear and panic swept through the area. Everything from chemical attacks to angry Gods was thrown out as a possibility for the mysterious deaths occurring around the lakes. Villagers had reported seeing the white cloud moving across the lakes. In the aftermath of the Nyos tragedy there were only six survivors, and they had suffered peculiar “burns” all over their bodies. These lesions were highly inconsistent with anything people had seen before.



These “burns” would only make sense if the Co2 had been superheated, but seeing as the corpses of the other victims showed no signs of scalding trauma this theory held little weight. It would take a team of brilliant researchers, and a radical new theory, to explain the tragedies at Nyos and Monoun.
Good thing the world had both of those up its sleeve.

Nyos’ Secret Volcano Lair



After the incident at Monoun a group of researchers led by Scientist J.C. Sabroux took to the waters to find out just what had occurred. They paddled out the center of its surprisingly calm waters and began lowering their equipment in. Basically the tools used were tubes with openings used to gather samples from the deepest sections of the lake, but as they drew the tubes to the surface something strange was happening, gas bubbles were rising up ahead of the equipment, making the surface look like the surface of a carbonated beverage.
The bottom of the lake was filled with Co2, this didn’t make any sense to the researchers until they realized something. They were sitting on a volcano. Volcanoes are well known for their violent history of erupting various hot gases into the atmosphere, chief amongst them being Sulphur and Carbon Dioxide.



 There was just one problem, this lake hadn’t erupted. In fact, seismographs would indicate this volcano wasn’t even all that active. So how was this Co2 getting to the surface? Turns out the volcano was just venting.
Just because the volcano doesn’t have any active plans to decimate the village below doesn’t mean it doesn’t have to let off some steam. Through underground vents called Chimneys, the volcano sends the gas upward to the surface where it mixes with ground water. As the ground water mixes with the lake water the gas is intermixed as well and sinks to the bottom. The Chimneys also directly feed the lake from below as well and the high pressures of the great depths keep it trapped at the bottom.
Until an Earthquake does something like causes a rock slide to send tons of heavy and dense material crashing down to the depths. As we all know from freshman year Earth Science class, when we drop dense materials into a glass of water it displaces it. And if you drop a rock into something carbonated (like a Coca-Cola for instance) it causes the Co2 to get riled up and rise to the top of the glass.



So when the rock slide sent those stones crashing into the water and to the bottom, it stirred up the Carbon Dioxide. Excited, it rose to the surface and formed a cloud, killing the villagers. The ones it didn’t kill suffered burns consistent with overexposure to carbon monoxide. What ended up happening was when the gas shut their bodies down it stopped circulating blood to the skin first. As a result the skin cells began to die and blistered up.
Now there are a lot of lakes that contain gases throughout the world. What made Nyos and Monoun so special? Well they were Meromictic Lakes, which means they were stratified, they didn’t intermix. Allow me to explain this a bit further.
Most lakes throughout the world are Holomictic or Polymictic. What this means is that through certain means these lakes stir themselves up to re-oxygenate the water at deeper levels. Wind is a good example of this, as it pushes along the surface of the water it stirs it up aiding in current flows, this causes the lake to turn itself over, preventing gas buildup.
Another method for lakes turning themselves over is temperature shifts. Optimally at 4 degrees above freezing (32 degrees F) the water on the top will sink to the bottom because it’s now heavier than the much warmer water below. This is why during winter months fish tend to school around the bottom of lakes, the water there is more oxygen rich. The warmer water rises to the top to start the process over again.
Tropical lakes like Nyos and Monoun are calm and warm year round and don’t receive the benefits of Polymictic lakes. As a result, dangerous gas buildups can occur. In 1987, Sabroux and his team announced their findings to the world, coining for the first time, the term “Lake Overturn.”
So now that they knew what the problem was, how the heck do they fix it?

Degassing: Like Xantac For Lakes!


 So if the waters of Monoun and Nyos don’t intermix and instead remain stationary year round how do we fix the problem? Quite simple really. They installed a series of pipes throughout the lake that reach the bottommost section of the waters, hook them up to a pump, and manually vent the water to the surface. The Co2 rich water at the bottom is forced safely up through the series of pipes. Once it reaches the surface the gas is released into the air in harmless amounts and the water cascades back down to the lake.
A lake of Monoun’s size only needs one or two of these pipes to not only keep it at safe levels but within a course of five years, almost completely eliminate the gas. Nyos will cost more money however being that it’s much larger and requires six to eight pipes to accomplish the same feat.
But what about the deadly giant Lake Kivu near Rwanda?
Kivu is roughly 2,000 times the size of Nyos and should it decide to go through a Limnic Eruption (Lake Overturn) it would take the bordering population (around 2.2 million people) with it. And there’s an even bigger problem still. Lake Kivu is host to an even deadlier monster at its depths.
Just above the layer of Carbon Dioxide at the bottom is another gas, Methane. Those of you familiar with chemistry know that Methane creates an even bigger problem than Co2, because unlike Carbon Dioxide, Methane is explosive. It’s a fossil fuel; in fact, Bralirwa Brewery in Rwanda along Lake Kivu has been using this naturally occurring fuel to fire its equipment since 1963.


Unfortunately, while this is genius, it doesn’t chip away at the methane content fast enough to bring it down to safe levels. International efforts are underway to fund a project which will harvest the methane from the lake to be used as a fuel source. Venting the Co2 will undergo a process like Nyos and Monoun, but Kivu will be far more costly because of its size.
Whatever they choose to do and however they choose to do it, it needs to be done soon. In the early 2000’s a volcano bordering Kivu erupted sending molten magma pouring into the lake. Had the lava reached the layer containing the methane it’s likely a highly explosive reaction would have occurred and the entire population along the lake would have been killed. Case in point:



Still don’t believe me? Fine, don’t take my word for it. But you should certainly listen to the distinguished Professor Robert Hecky. When he was working for the University of Michigan in the United States he had core samples drilled from the deepest parts of the lake and his findings were disturbing. It turns out every 5,000 years or so the gas buildup gets so great that a Limnic Eruption is inevitable, and we’re just about due.
The good news is that since the breaking of this news, the scientific community and energy entrepreneurs worldwide have been chipping in to get at the methane below the bio-line of Lake Kivu. With any luck a violent eruption like the ones seen in the distant past won’t occur in Rwanda again.
And that’s great news. Because personally, I think they’ve had enough bad luck.

So…You Said There’s More of These…?


I did, and they are located all over the world. However, not all of them produce gas levels like Kivu, Nyos, and Monoun. As a result, while they don’t turn over, they don’t pose a threat to the populations in the surrounding areas. From Lake Vanda in Antarctica:


To Jellyfish Lake in Palau on the Asian continent:


Even The Black Sea, bordering the countries Russia, Romania, the Ukraine, Georgia,      and Turkey is considered to be Meromictic:



But don’t fret. If you live on the border of any of these lakes or other Meromictic ones you needn’t worry. As I said above, these don’t contain the gases necessary to provide the devastating effects Kivu is capable of. If you want to see more Meromictic lakes check out the Wiki by clicking here.
Thanks for reading everyone!

-       Ryan Sanders




Thanks for reading everyone! Hope you enjoyed the article today! If you want to read more about any of the topics discussed above feel free to follow any of the links below. Don’t forget to share this around on Twitter, Facebook, Tumblr, Reddit, whatever other social media exists nowadays that I don’t know about yet! You’re continued support is what keeps me doing this! Thanks again everyone!

-       PBS blog on lake Kivu